Likely scenarios in the immediate future include:
Security situation in Chechnya, Ingushetia and other republics will remain unstable;
Human rights violations will continue, and tensions between various armed groups in Chechnya will remain high;
Socio-economic situation will probably stabilise further, however humanitarian needs of vulnerable population in Chechnya will remain significant;
Major reconstruction work in Chechnya will continue, including the rehabilitation of infrastructure, although at a slower rate as long as the financial crisis in Russia lasts;
Access to Chechnya will remain problematic for UN and international NGOs;
Administrative issues are expected to hamper NGOs in their work even more, and local NGO employees will remain at risk of abduction.
